Thursday, February 12, 2015

Women's Tiebreakers (Two Weeks Out)

The situation in the ECAC is starting to become pretty clear.

Six of the eight playoff teams have been determined - Harvard, Quinnipiac, Clarkson, Cornell, St. Lawrence, and Princeton will advance to the ECAC Quarterfinals. Expect a serious amount of jockeying for position between these teams in the next two weekends, however. None have secured home ice.

The final two playoff teams will come from a field of three - Dartmouth, Yale, and Colgate, with Dartmouth and Yale as the very heavy favorites to emerge from that group. In fact, Dartmouth can eliminate Colgate (and thereby secure a playoff spot for Yale no matter what the Bulldogs do against RPI) with a win or a tie over the Raiders on Friday.

RPI, Union, and Brown have already been eliminated from playoff contention with four games remaining. However, each have the potential to finish as high as 9th.

Harvard, Quinnipiac, Clarkson, Cornell, and St. Lawrence have all clinched a top 6 position

Princeton can do the same on Friday with a win over Clarkson OR a tie and an RPI win/tie at Yale.

Dartmouth and Yale can only finish as high as sixth, although they're likely to be seventh and eighth in some fashion.

Here are the current tiebreaker situations.

Current ties
Tie for 2nd: Quinnipiac is ahead of Clarkson 2-0 in the season series.
Tie for 7th: Yale wins the season series over Dartmouth, 4-0.

Harvard
Quinnipiac - Won, 4-0.
Cornell - Ahead, 2-0.
Princeton - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins result.
Clarkson - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Quinnipiac
Princeton - Won, 4-0.
Clarkson - Ahead, 2-0.
Cornell - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins result.
SLU - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Clarkson
SLU - Won, 4-0.
Princeton - Ahead, 2-0.
Harvard - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Cornell
Clarkson, SLU - Won, 3-1.
Quinnipiac - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins result.

St. Lawrence
Harvard, Princeton - Ahead, 2-0.
Quinnipiac - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Princeton
Cornell - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth - Won, 3-1.
Yale - Ahead, 2-0.
Harvard - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Yale
Dartmouth, Colgate - Won, 4-0.

Dartmouth
No tiebreakers won.

Colgate
Brown - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth, RPI - Ahead, 2-0.
Union - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

RPI
Union - Won, 3-1.
Brown - Ahead, 2-0.

Union
Brown - Ahead, 2-0.
Colgate - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins result.

Brown
No tiebreakers won.

Irrelevant
Quinnipiac/Harvard/Clarkson/Cornell/St. Lawrence
Dartmouth, Yale, Colgate, RPI, Brown, Union

Princeton
Colgate, RPI, Brown, Union

Dartmouth/Yale
RPI, Brown, Union

Tiebreaker solutions for this weekend
Friday's games:
* These teams can win the tiebreakers with their opponents with a win or a tie: Union over Brown; Clarkson over Princeton; Colgate over Dartmouth; Harvard over Cornell.
* The winner of the Quinnipiac/SLU game wins that tiebreaker, a tie guarantees the tiebreaker goes to at least the second break.
* A Dartmouth win or tie against Colgate makes that tiebreak irrelevant.

Saturday's games:
*These teams can win the tiebreakers with their opponents with a win or a tie: St. Lawrence over Princeton; RPI over Brown; Quinnipiac over Clarkson.

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