Saturday, February 21, 2015

Mid-Weekend Season Resets

Women
Harvard will finish in first or second. They face the only team that can catch them, Clarkson, on Saturday. Harvard finishes first with a win or a tie. Clarkson finishes first with a win.

Clarkson finishes in second if they draw with Harvard. A loss and a Quinnipiac win at Brown would drop the Golden Knights to third by virtue of Quinnipiac's tiebreaker win.

Quinnipiac has not yet clinched home ice. They would fall to fifth with a loss AND wins by Cornell and St. Lawrence. They can clinch third with at least a draw, and can claim second in the scenario listed above.

St. Lawrence can finish third with a win AND a Quinnipiac loss AND a Cornell tie/loss.

Cornell can finish third with a win AND a Quinnipiac loss AND a St. Lawrence win.

Princeton can finish fourth with a win AND ties or losses by St. Lawrence and Cornell.

Yale will be 7th and Dartmouth 8th. The Big Green can tie the Bulldogs with a win over St. Lawrence and a Yale loss, but Yale wins the tiebreaker.

Colgate and RPI will finish and 9th and 10th in some order, they conclude the season against each other. Colgate is 9th with a win or a tie on Saturday, RPI is 9th with a win.

Union will finish 11th. They can tie RPI with a win over Cornell and an RPI loss, but RPI wins the tiebreaker.

Brown will finish 12th. They can tie Union for 11th with a win over Quinnipiac and a Union loss, but Union wins the tiebreaker.

Tie for 4th: Cornell won the season series with St. Lawrence, 3-1.

Tiebreakers

Harvard
No tiebreakers won.

Clarkson
Harvard - Tied, 1-1. Would win 3-1 if this tiebreaker goes into effect.

Quinnipiac
Clarkson - Won, 4-0.
Cornell - Tied, 2-2. Goes to the third tiebreaker, wins by virtue of a 4-3 points edge against Top 4 teams (Harvard and Clarkson, since this can only be a tiebreak for 3rd).

Cornell
SLU - Won, 3-1.

St. Lawrence
Quinnipiac - Won, 3-1.

Princeton
Cornell - Won, 4-0.
SLU - Tied, 2-2. Would win on ECAC wins.

Yale
Dartmouth - Won, 4-0.

Dartmouth
No tiebreakers won.

Colgate
Cannot tie with anyone (playing RPI separated by one point).

RPI
Union - Won, 3-1.

Union
Brown - Won, 3-1.

Brown
No tiebreakers won.

Multiple tiebreakers
COR-PRN-SLU: Princeton, Cornell, SLU
COR-QU-SLU: Cornell, SLU, Quinnipiac


Men
Quinnipiac has clinched a first-round bye and will be either the 1st or 2nd seed. They can clinch the #1 seed on Saturday with a win/tie against Brown OR a SLU tie/loss.

St. Lawrence has clinched a first-round bye. They can clinch no worse than the #2 seed with a win over Dartmouth.

Yale, Dartmouth and Harvard have clinched a home ice playoff series, neither can finish lower than 8th.

Colgate can clinch a home ice playoff series with a win or a draw on Saturday against RPI.

Cornell can clinch a home ice playoff series with a win and an RPI loss/tie on Saturday, or a tie and an RPI loss.

Clarkson can clinch a home ice playoff series with a win and an RPI loss on Saturday.

RPI, Union, Brown, and Princeton are all locked into playing in a first-round series.

RPI can finish no higher than 6th. They can tie for 5th, but only by winning out and with Colgate and Harvard losing out, producing at least a three-way tie with those teams that would see Harvard claiming 5th (swept both Colgate and RPI). Adding Clarkson and/or Cornell to the tie doesn't seem to help RPI get higher than 6th.

Union can finish no higher than 7th. A loss on Saturday would guarantee a road series in the first round.

Brown can finish no higher than 9th and will be on the road for the first round.

Princeton will be on the road for the first round and will finish either 11th or 12th.

There's only one tie in the standings right now.

Tie for 5th: Harvard swept the season series with Colgate, 4-0.

Here are the remaining relevant tiebreaker situations, sorted by who wins each one.

Quinnipiac
SLU - Won, 4-0.

St. Lawrence
Harvard, Yale - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth - Ahead, 2-0.

Yale
Harvard - Won, 4-0.
Colgate - Ahead, 2-0.
Dartmouth - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Dartmouth
Cornell - Won, 4-0.
Clarkson, Yale - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Harvard
Colgate, RPI - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth - Won, 3-1.
Clarkson - Ahead, 2-0.

Colgate
SLU - Won, 4-0.
Clarkson, Dartmouth - Won, 3-1.

Cornell
Clarkson - Won, 4-0.
Colgate, Harvard - Won, 3-1.
Union, Yale - Ahead, 2-0.

Clarkson
Yale - Won, 3-1.
RPI - Ahead, 2-0.
Dartmouth - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

RPI
Union - Won, 4-0.
Cornell - Won, 3-1.
Colgate - Ahead, 2-0.

Union
Clarkson - Ahead, 2-0.
Brown - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Brown
RPI - Won, 4-0.
Princeton - Won, 3-1.
Union - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Princeton
No tiebreakers won.


Irrelevant
Quinnipiac
All but St. Lawrence

St. Lawrence
Cornell, Clarkson, RPI, Union, Brown, Princeton

Yale/Dartmouth
RPI, Union, Brown, Princeton

Colgate/Harvard
Union, Brown, Princeton

Cornell/Clarkson
Brown, Princeton

RPI/Union
Princeton


Tiebreaker solutions for this weekend
Saturday's games:
* The following teams can clinch tiebreakers with a win or a draw: Harvard over Clarkson; RPI over Colgate.

* A SLU win/tie against Dartmouth makes that tiebreaker irrelevant.

* A Harvard win against Clarkson makes that tiebreaker irrelevant.

* A Colgate win/tie against RPI makes that tiebreaker irrelevant.

* A Cornell win/tie against Union makes that tiebreaker irrelevant.

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