Thursday, February 19, 2015

Men's Season Reset (Two Weeks Out)

Things are starting to come together on the men's side as well.

Quinnipiac has clinched a first-round bye and will be either the 1st or 2nd seed. They can clinch the 1st seed on Friday with a win OR a tie and a St. Lawrence loss/tie.

St. Lawrence has clinched a home ice playoff series, and can clinch a first round bye on Friday with a win OR a tie and a Dartmouth loss.

Yale has clinched a home ice playoff series.

RPI can finish no higher than 4th, which would only be possible if Harvard lost out and RPI won out, among other unlikely things.

Union and Brown are guaranteed to be playing in a first-round series.

Princeton will be on the road for the first round and will finish between 10th and 12th.

That's about it. There's only one tie in the standings right now.

Tie for 7th: Cornell wins the tiebreaker with Clarkson thanks to a season sweep.

If the season ended today (and don't forget, it doesn't), here's what the playoff situation would look like.

First Round:
#12 Princeton at #5 Dartmouth
#11 Brown at #6 Colgate
#10 Union at #7 Cornell
#9 RPI at #8 Clarkson

Quarterfinals
Clarkson/RPI/Union/Brown/Princeton at #1 Quinnipiac
Cornell/Clarkson/RPI/Union/Brown at #2 St. Lawrence
Colgate/Cornell/Clarkson/RPI/Union at #3 Yale
Dartmouth/Colgate/Cornell/Clarkson/RPI at #4 Harvard

Here are the remaining relevant tiebreaker situations, sorted by who wins each one.

Quinnipiac
SLU - Won, 4-0.

St. Lawrence
Cornell, Yale - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth, Harvard - Ahead, 2-0.
Clarkson - Tied, 2-2, would likely lead on ECAC wins.

Yale
Harvard, RPI - Won, 4-0.
Colgate- Ahead, 2-0.
Dartmouth - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Harvard
Colgate, RPI - Won, 4-0.
Dartmouth - Won, 3-1.
Clarkson - Ahead, 2-0.

Dartmouth
Cornell, Union - Won, 4-0.
Yale - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Colgate
SLU - Won, 4-0.
Clarkson, Dartmouth - Won, 3-1.
Brown, Union - Ahead, 2-0.

Cornell
Clarkson - Won, 4-0.
Colgate, Harvard - Won, 3-1.
Union, Yale - Ahead, 2-0.

Clarkson
Yale - Won, 3-1.
Dartmouth, RPI - Ahead, 2-0.

RPI
Princeton, Union - Won, 4-0.
Colgate, Cornell - Ahead, 2-0.
Dartmouth - Tied, 2-2, would likely lead on ECAC wins.

Union
Princeton, Won, 4-0.
Harvard - Won, 3-1.
Clarkson - Ahead, 2-0.
Brown - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Brown
RPI - Won, 4-0.
Union - Tied, 2-2. Unknown ECAC wins difference.
Princeton - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins difference.

Princeton
Brown - Tied, 1-1. Unknown ECAC wins difference.


Irrelevant
Quinnipiac
All but St. Lawrence

St. Lawrence
RPI, Union, Brown, Princeton

Yale
Union, Brown, Princeton

Harvard/Dartmouth/Colgate/Cornell/Clarkson
Brown, Princeton


Tiebreaker solutions for this weekend
Friday's games:
* The following teams can clinch tiebreakers with a win or a draw: St. Lawrence over Harvard; Clarkson over Dartmouth; RPI over Cornell; Colgate over Union.
* The winner of the Brown/Princeton game wins the tiebreaker, a draw would guarantee tiebreaker goes to at least the second criteria.

Saturday's games:
* The following teams can clinch tiebreakers with a win or a draw: St. Lawrence over Dartmouth (irrelevant with SLU win/Dartmouth loss on Friday); Harvard over Clarkson; RPI over Colgate (irrelevant with Colgate win/RPI loss on Friday); Cornell over Union (irrelevant with Cornell win/Union loss on Friday).

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