Sunday, February 21, 2016

Men's Reset (One Week Out)

Quinnipiac (14-1-5) has clinched a first round bye and at least a share of 1st. They can clinch the #1 seed outright on Friday with a win, tie, or a Yale loss/tie.

Yale (12-4-3) has clinched a first round bye and will finish no worse than 3rd. They can clinch at least the #2 seed on Friday with a win, tie, or a Harvard loss/tie. The only scenario in which they can finish as the #1 seed requires a win on Friday over Princeton, a Quinnipiac loss to Brown, and then a win over the Bobcats on Saturday.

Harvard (11-5-4) has clinched a home ice playoff series. They can clinch a first round bye on Friday with a win, tie, or an RPI loss. They will finish between 2nd and 5th.

St. Lawrence (10-7-3) has clinched a home ice playoff series. They can clinch a first round bye on Friday with a win and an RPI loss/tie. They will finish between 3rd and 8th.

Dartmouth (11-9-0) has clinched a home ice playoff series and will finish between 4th and 8th. They cannot clinch a first round bye on Friday, but they would be eliminated from contention with a loss to St. Lawrence.

RPI (8-6-6) has clinched a home playoff series and will finish between 3rd and 8th. They cannot clinch a first round bye on Friday, but they would be eliminated from contention with a loss to Colgate, or a tie and a St. Lawrence win.

Cornell (8-7-5) has clinched a home playoff series and will finish between 4th and 8th. They cannot clinch a first round bye on Friday, but they would be eliminated from contention with a loss or tie against Union, or a St. Lawrence win.

Clarkson (8-9-3) will play in a first round playoff series. They cannot catch St. Lawrence or Dartmouth for 4th because of the game between those teams on Friday. The Golden Knights will finish between 5th and 9th. They can clinch a home ice playoff series on Friday with a win, a tie, or a Union loss/tie.

Union (5-9-6) will play in a first round playoff series and will finish either 8th or 9th. The only scenario in which they do not finish 9th requires a road sweep of Cornell and Colgate, with Clarkson being swept at home by Harvard and Dartmouth. Any other result puts the Dutchmen on the road as the #9 seed.

Brown (3-12-5), Colgate (4-14-2), and Princeton (3-15-2) will all be on the road in the first round and will finish between 10th and 12th.

Current ties in the standings are broken as follows:
5th: Dartmouth wins the first tiebreaker over RPI (4-0).

Tiebreakers

Quinnipiac
No tiebreakers won.

Yale
Quinnipiac - Would tie 2-2 in a tiebreaker situation, would win on ECAC wins.
Harvard - Won, 3-1.

Harvard
Dartmouth - Won, 4-0.
SLU - Would tie 2-2 in a tiebreaker situation, unknown ECAC wins difference.

St. Lawrence
RPI - Tied, 2-2, would win on ECAC wins.
Cornell - Tied, 2-2, would likely lead on ECAC wins.
Clarkson - Tied, 2-2, would go to the third tiebreaker.
Harvard - Would tie 2-2 in a tiebreaker situation, unknown ECAC wins difference.

Dartmouth
RPI - Won, 4-0.
Cornell - Tied, 2-2, would win on ECAC wins.
Clarkson - Would tie 2-2 in a tiebreaker situation, would win on ECAC wins.
SLU - Ahead, 2-0, would win in any head-to-head tiebreaker situation.

RPI
Harvard - Won, 3-1.
Cornell - Ahead, 2-0.

Clarkson
RPI - Won, 3-1.
Union - Tied, 2-2, would win on ECAC wins.
Cornell - Tied, 2-2, would likely lead on ECAC wins.
SLU - Tied, 2-2, would go to the third tiebreaker.

Cornell
No tiebreakers won.

Union
No tiebreakers won.

Brown
Colgate - Won, 3-1.

Colgate
Princeton - Won, 4-0.

Princeton
Brown - Would win 4-0 in a tiebreaker situation.

Multiple tiebreakers
DRT-HRV-RPI: Harvard, Dartmouth, RPI
DRT-RPI-SLU: Dartmouth, St. Lawrence, RPI
HRV-RPI-SLU: St. Lawrence, RPI, Harvard (requires St. Lawrence win over Harvard to be relevant)
COR-DRT-RPI: Dartmouth, Cornell/RPI (depends on result of Cornell/RPI game)
COR-DRT-SLU: If Dartmouth/SLU tie - Cornell, Dartmouth, St. Lawrence. If Dartmouth beats SLU - Dartmouth, Cornell, St. Lawrence. Irrelevant otherwise.
COR-RPI-SLU: If Cornell/RPI tie - St. Lawrence, RPI, Cornell. If Cornell beats RPI - St. Lawrence, Cornell/RPI (determined by 2nd or 3rd tiebreaker). Irrelevant otherwise.
COR-DRT-RPI-SLU: Dartmouth, St. Lawrence, remainder goes to undetermined Cornell/RPI tiebreak.
CKN-COR-DRT: If Dartmouth/Clarkson tie - Dartmouth wins, Clarkson/Cornell tiebreak undetermined. If Clarkson beats Dartmouth - Dartmouth, Clarkson, Cornell.
CKN-COR-RPI: Clarkson wins, Cornell/RPI tiebreak undetermined.
CKN-COR-SLU: Clarkson/SLU resolved on 3rd tiebreak or beyond, Cornell 3rd.
CKN-DRT-RPI: Dartmouth, Clarkson, RPI
CKN-RPI-SLU: Clarkson, St. Lawrence, RPI
CKN-COR-DRT-RPI: Dartmouth, Clarkson, Cornell/RPI tiebreak undetermined.
CKN-COR-RPI-SLU: Clarkson, St. Lawrence, Cornell/RPI tiebreak undetermined.
BRN-COL-PRN: Colgate, Princeton, Brown (requires Princeton win over Brown to be relevant)

Scenarios within four points, but not possible due to matchups
DRT-HRV-SLU: Due to the Dartmouth/SLU game.
DRT-HRV-RPI-SLU: Due to the Dartmouth/SLU game.
CKN-DRT-SLU: Due to the Dartmouth/Clarkson game.
CKN-DRT-RPI-SLU: Due to the Dartmouth/Clarkson game.
CKN-COR-DRT-RPI-SLU: Due to the Dartmouth/Clarkson game.

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