Wednesday, February 16, 2011

What We Know

Women

There are two games remaining in the season.

Cornell (39 points) has clinched first place and will have home ice throughout the ECAC playoffs.

Harvard (29 points) has clinched home ice for the first round and can clinch second place and home ice through the first two rounds of the ECAC playoffs with with a win or tie over Colgate OR a Dartmouth loss or tie against Cornell.

Dartmouth (26 points) can clinch home ice for the first round with a win or tie over Cornell OR a Princeton loss or tie at Brown.

Quinnipiac (24 points) can clinch home ice for the first round with a win at Yale AND a Princeton loss or tie at Brown due to their superior record against the top three teams as compared to the Tigers.

Princeton (23 points) has clinched a playoff berth. They cannot clinch home ice on Friday.

This is where things start to get murky.

Clarkson (20 points) did not clinch a playoff berth yesterday due to their loss to St. Lawrence, they could have done so with a win or a tie. They can accomplish the same with a win over RPI on Friday.

RPI (18 points) is in seventh place by virtue of its tiebreaker wins (for now) over Colgate and St. Lawrence (overall record against Colgate/SLU, the lone win over SLU). The Engineers cannot clinch a playoff berth on Friday due to an uncertain tiebreaker with St. Lawrence, who they face on Saturday.

St. Lawrence (18 points) is in eighth place by virtue of its tiebreaker win over Colgate (swept the season series). They cannot clinch a playoff berth on Saturday due to the uncertain tiebreaker with RPI.

Colgate (18 points) is in ninth place due to its tiebreaker losses to RPI and St. Lawrence. Their fate is difficult to determine but is helped significantly by the fact that RPI and St. Lawrence must play each other on Saturday. However, they would be eliminated on Friday with a loss AND wins by both the Engineers and the Saints due to tiebreaker losses.

Yale (16 points) is in tenth place, and would be eliminated on Friday with a loss AND wins or ties from two of the teams tied for seventh.

Brown (5 points) and Union (4 points) are eliminated from playoff consideration.

Men

There are four games left in the regular season.

Functionally (not mathematically true yet), Union and Yale have secured first round byes, RPI and Princeton have secured home ice in the first round, and Harvard will be on the road in the first round. Clarkson, Quinnipiac, and Brown are functionally out for the first round bye.

Mathematically, Union, Yale, Dartmouth, and Cornell have secured at least home ice in the first round. Colgate has been eliminated from home ice contention altogether, while St. Lawrence and Harvard are eliminated from contention for the first round bye.

As of now, Dartmouth, Cornell, and RPI are still mathematically alive for the Cleary Cup, but only Union and Yale are functionally alive.

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